Uncapped with Jack Altman

Tony Xu on AI Consumption, Atoms vs. Bits, and the 1% Better Mentality | Ep. 55

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Summary

At-a-Glance

  • Verdict: Watch fully
  • Core thesis: Tony Xu argues that AI creates value only when it is tied to concrete customer outcomes and embedded across end-to-end operating workflows, especially in the messy, edge-case-heavy world of physical commerce.
  • Why it matters: This is a high-signal operating case study in using AI as a control and coordination layer rather than a token-consuming feature layer, with reusable lessons on workflow redesign, metric discipline, marketplace orchestration, and sequencing adjacent bets.
  • Best use: Use the interview to pressure-test AI initiatives against measurable customer jobs, identify workflow bottlenecks beyond code generation, and study how a scaled operator preserves execution speed while managing a complex multi-party system.

Executive Summary

Xu's central answer to rising enterprise AI spend is not to demand immediate ROI from every token, but to constrain exploration around explicitly defined customer outcomes. DoorDash accepts that discovery is initially inefficient, yet directs teams toward measurable jobs for consumers, merchants, and Dashers rather than allowing undirected experimentation. Its examples include using AI to onboard merchants 35% to 50% faster through automated catalog, menu, photo, and description generation, as well as detecting fraud and potential safety incidents.

He makes a sharper distinction between local AI productivity and organization-wide productivity. Coding models may improve the code-writing portion of an engineer's work, but product reviews, design, cross-functional alignment, and decision processes can remain the bottleneck. DoorDash sees a wide productivity distribution among engineers—some reportedly many multiples more productive—but Xu treats exceptional performers as a source of replicable workflow learning rather than as isolated outliers.

The strategic frame is "atoms versus bits": DoorDash expects AI assistants and agents to become more valuable when they can execute real-world tasks, not merely manipulate information. DoorDash's defensibility and future partnership value lie in its city-level commerce graph and ability to coordinate inventory, merchants, preparation, delivery capacity, substitutions, pricing, support, and refunds. LLMs can simplify the increasingly complex consumer interface and turn DoorDash into a city-level personal agent; autonomous vehicles and drones may help, but they address only one portion of the full fulfillment system.

Operationally, Xu describes DoorDash as an execution business built on continuous 1% improvements, objective measurement, and respect for the humans represented in each order: consumer, merchant, and Dasher. Growth requires maintaining the core—selection, quality, price, and service—while separately incubating new problems with different people, incentives, and a temporary tolerance for inefficiency. His broader leadership goal is not sustained startup-style overwork, but sustained agency: making employees feel able to create meaningful impact as the company scales.

Key Takeaways

  • Claim: AI experimentation should start with specific customer jobs and be allowed multiple directed attempts, rather than being managed as undifferentiated token consumption. | Evidence: Xu says every company is navigating a period where compute cost and efficiency may not yet align with customer outcomes; DoorDash directs work toward consumer, merchant, and Dasher outcomes instead of "YOLO" experimentation. | Implication: For Ken, AI budgets should be organized around outcome portfolios with clear customer or operator metrics, not generic model-use quotas or broad productivity claims. | Caveat: He explicitly accepts inefficiency during discovery and invention; the discipline is containment and direction, not requiring immediate payback from every experiment.
  • Claim: The largest AI productivity gains will require redesigning the full operating workflow, not simply adding code-generation tools. | Evidence: Xu estimates coding may represent roughly 25% to 50% of an engineer's time, while product reviews, design meetings, dependencies, and business alignment still govern throughput. He says DoorDash is working toward being AI-native in how it operates, not merely in development. | Implication: Measure AI impact at the unit of completed customer-facing work or cycle time across the whole workflow; investigate top performers' systems and codify them into reusable operating practices. | Caveat: Reported productivity gains vary substantially: Xu cites an average around 50% in some contexts but says some engineers may be 35x to 50x more productive.
  • Claim: DoorDash has already found operational AI use cases with direct, measurable value in marketplace quality and safety. | Evidence: Merchant onboarding is reportedly 35% to 50% faster when AI generates catalogs or menus, helps edit photos, and drafts descriptions; AI also helps identify fraud and safety incidents early enough for preventative action. | Implication: High-value applied AI opportunities often sit in structured-but-laborious operational processes—onboarding, content normalization, anomaly detection, and intervention—rather than only in consumer chat interfaces.
  • Claim: AI agents become materially more useful when they can trigger reliable real-world execution, making physical-world orchestration a strategic complement to intelligence models. | Evidence: Xu frames DoorDash as competing in the "war for atoms" and asks what value a personal assistant has if it cannot do real things. He positions DoorDash's city-level catalog, merchant relationships, and logistics network as infrastructure agents will need to act in the world. | Implication: Agent architectures that claim to act for users need robust integrations with execution networks, state visibility, exception handling, and accountability—not just a capable conversational layer. | Caveat: Physical operations are intrinsically less controllable than software: traffic, weather, shelf conditions, store layouts, and staffing create continual edge cases.
  • Claim: Faster autonomous delivery alone will not solve physical-commerce fulfillment because preparation and inventory accuracy are often the dominant delays and costs. | Evidence: Xu says drones and autonomous vehicles will happen, but delivery is only one component; a drone cannot bypass an understaffed kitchen or resolve uncertain store inventory. DoorDash decomposed a simple "bring a burrito" task into roughly 20 mini-systems. | Implication: When automating an end-to-end workflow, optimize the critical path rather than the visually obvious final step; map upstream preparation, inventory, handoff, substitution, pricing, and recovery systems first. | Caveat: The relevant speed threshold depends on the product category, although Xu is unequivocal that customers always prefer faster delivery.
  • Claim: Sustainable growth comes from simultaneously compounding the existing core and incubating new customer problems, but these require different management systems. | Evidence: DoorDash spent seven years on restaurant delivery before moving into groceries. Xu says the core requires continual improvement in selection, quality, price, and service, while new businesses need different skills, people, incentives, and more initial inefficiency. | Implication: Separate exploit and explore work operationally: protect the core's reliability and economics while funding new bets under expectations appropriate to their earlier, less efficient stage. | Caveat: Xu's decision rule for adjacency is primarily sequencing and opportunity cost, not whether an idea is simply "good" or "bad."
  • Claim: Metrics-driven execution is durable only when paired with a serious model of the humans affected by the system. | Evidence: Every DoorDash order involves at least a consumer, merchant, and Dasher. Xu describes merchants' businesses as livelihoods and identities, while noting that most Dashers work only a few hours weekly and use the platform as a stepping stone toward other careers. | Implication: For multi-sided AI systems, optimize beyond a single numerical objective: explicitly model stakeholder consequences, recruit people who accept the domain's messiness, and use field exposure to prevent abstract optimization from missing real failure modes.

Detailed Brief

Consumer economics and DoorDash's demand thesis

  • Claims: Xu sees prepared food demand as supported by a long-running structural shift toward outsourcing meal preparation rather than by a short-lived technology or pandemic effect.; Affordability is the cross-category consumer concern DoorDash is tracking, so value creation means both lowering total fulfillment costs and increasing utility.; Cost is not limited to item price: inaccurate grocery inventory, substitutions, poor fit in retail, returns, refunds, and operational failures all raise the delivered cost of commerce.
  • Evidence: Xu cites a shift from roughly 70% to 80% of food dollars spent on groceries in the 1950s, to about 55% groceries and 45% restaurants around DoorDash's 2013 founding, to roughly 55% restaurants and 45% groceries today.; He cites dual-income households rising from about one-quarter in 1950 to nearly 70% by 2020, and says restaurant counts have increased year over year in all but approximately two measured years over six to seven decades.; He says many grocers cannot reliably know what is on shelves because shoppers move items and suppliers frequently change promotional placement, even apart from legacy-system issues.
  • Caveats: The food-spending figures are presented conversationally and without source details or adjustment for relative prices, income, or geography.; Xu does not quantify the portion of consumer demand driven by convenience versus other factors such as habit, restaurant availability, or pricing.
  • Implications: The strongest commerce propositions may win by removing hidden friction and failure costs, not solely by subsidizing visible delivery fees.; A reliable operational data layer for physical inventory and fulfillment state is strategically valuable for both consumer applications and future AI agents.

Execution culture, advertising, and learning from the field

  • Claims: DoorDash treats advertising as a constrained optimization problem: advertiser returns cannot be purchased by degrading consumer relevance.; Xu attributes execution strength to combining multivariate quantitative trade-offs with direct empathy for the people participating in the marketplace.; The company maintains a practice in which employees perform deliveries themselves so that product and operational decisions reflect physical-world reality.
  • Evidence: Xu says DoorDash was the fastest company in history to reach $1 billion in ad revenue, but emphasizes the team's restraint in pursuing both advertiser and consumer outcomes.; He warns that small relevance compromises in advertising can compound into a difficult-to-reverse product tax over years.; Examples employees encounter while Dashing include wrong elevators and lobbies, bad parking access, and restaurants producing food from multiple stations.
  • Caveats: The interview does not supply retention, conversion, or consumer-experience metrics validating the claimed advertising balance.; Direct field immersion improves context but does not by itself substitute for representative data, systematic incident analysis, or customer research.
  • Implications: Treat monetization surfaces as cumulative trust systems; establish hard quality or relevance guardrails before optimization pressures normalize degradation.; For AI and automation teams operating against real-world workflows, make frontline observation and task execution part of the product-development loop.

Notable Concepts & Terms

  • War for atoms: Xu's framing for companies that create value by coordinating physical goods, services, and city-level operations rather than competing only for digital attention or information.
  • Customer jobs: The unit DoorDash uses to focus AI experimentation: concrete problems to solve for consumers, merchants, or Dashers, with measurable outcomes.
  • AI-native operations: A broader redesign of reviews, design, planning, alignment, and execution workflows so AI gains are not trapped only in code generation.
  • Personal agent: Xu's envisioned DoorDash interface: an assistant using order history and local commerce connections to research, recommend, schedule, and procure items across a city.
  • Greedy algorithm: Xu's metaphor for staying with a winning core opportunity until its marginal opportunity is exhausted before expanding into adjacent categories.
  • 1% better every day: DoorDash's compounding execution philosophy: continuously improve selection, affordability, reliability, support, and quality rather than declare the delivery problem solved.
  • Math and humanity: Xu's cultural requirement that operators both optimize complex marketplace metrics and understand the livelihood and experience consequences for each participant.
  • Agency: Xu's preferred measure of startup intensity: employees' ability to have meaningful impact, rather than maximizing hours worked.

Operator Notes / Why Ken Should Care

  • Audit current AI projects by assigning each one a named customer or operator job, a measurable end-state metric, a cost boundary, and an explicit learning horizon.
  • Instrument end-to-end workflow throughput rather than code output alone; identify where review, approval, handoff, context gathering, or exception resolution erases model-driven productivity gains.
  • Create a repeatable analysis of AI power users: capture their tool stack, prompts, task decomposition, review practices, and organizational conditions, then test whether those practices can lift median performance.
  • For any agent intended to execute external work, build an exception map covering state uncertainty, inventory or data freshness, routing, handoffs, substitutions, permissions, customer recovery, and auditability before optimizing the front-end experience.
  • Separate core optimization from new AI/product incubation with distinct success criteria and operating cadence; avoid applying mature-business efficiency expectations to early discovery work.
  • Establish product-quality guardrails for monetization and automation so local revenue or efficiency gains cannot quietly compound into customer-trust degradation.
  • Require periodic frontline or customer-context immersion for teams automating physical or operational workflows; use observed failures to update system requirements and evals.

Source/Metadata

  • Title: Tony Xu on AI Consumption, Atoms vs. Bits, and the 1% Better Mentality | Ep. 55
  • Transcript words: 14680
  • Duration seconds: 2848
  • Timestamp note: No timestamps or chapters were present in the supplied transcript. The transcript contains substantial duplicated passages in its latter portion.
Full transcript 8353 words · 65 min read
0:00

There are battles for attention, bits, and battles for what's happening in the physical world, for the atoms, and we largely occupy ourselves in the second category, right? We are in the war for atoms because one day, ultimately, what's the point of having a personal assistant if it can't actually do real things?

0:07

Tony, thanks so much for doing this. One of the things I wanted to start with was this concept that, if you'll indulge me on it because it's something I've been thinking about a bunch, around the idea of AI spend at companies. I think the trigger anecdote that I saw that I'd like to get your take on was Uber was basically saying, in the first few months of the year, they blew through their whole AI budget. They were rampantly consuming tokens, and what did they get out of it? Did they get more rides? Did they get more drivers? Did anything, their margins improved? What happened? And I think they were saying it wasn't obvious. And you're obviously the leader of a company that's super metrics oriented and has executed super well. So I assume you must think about this. But I'm just curious, at a high level, how you think about what is a large rising line item. And as it continues to rise, what do you care about?

0:12

Yeah, I think every company right now is trying to figure that out, where the ultimate goal of any technology is actually to hopefully solve a problem and actually make things cheaper. That's the goal of technology. But as you know, especially when you have constrained resources, like compute, in the case of these large LLM companies, sometimes you don't get the timing of these things exactly when you can deliver the outcomes. Or you don't get the cost profiles or the efficiency profiles to serve the technology to match exactly when you can deliver the customer outcomes. And I think that's the world in which we live today. So I think every company is trying to figure this out. In terms of how we're thinking about it, first and foremost is what customer jobs can we actually solve? And so I do think when you have new technologies, there's always going to be this period of inefficiency and almost discovery, where you got this new toy, you don't know exactly what you need it for, you probably know that you don't really need a frontier model to know what the weather is, perhaps. But on the flip side, you also don't know the limits or the ceiling of what the technology can do. And you want to know that. And so the way, at least I think about how you do this somewhat efficiently, even though by definition you're going to accept inefficiency in the discovery process or in the invention process, you want to do it in the most contained set of ways that deliver customer outcomes. So you actually want to put customer outcomes and start there, and then actually give teams as many shots on goal toward those outcomes as possible. It doesn't mean you get there, but at least it's directed.

0:16

Yeah. And it's intentional, and it's not entirely just YOLO. There's obviously some of that. But I think if it can be directed toward, in our case, consumers, merchants, dashers, we've actually found some success. Well, it's funny because as a software company, which is where so much of the AI productivity is happening right now, it's actually harder in some ways for them to measure the end outcome of the work that their engineers have done than maybe yours, where you can say, hey, I can measure, did we complete more deliveries? Did we get more restaurants? Do we have new users? All the things that you're tracking. I was reflecting that over the last few years, you've watched this egg move through the snake in the pipeline from first there's the buildout and there's chips, and then you get data centers. And then it's like, oh man, are people ever going to use this? And now they are using it, and the token spend is ramping. But now it's like we've got to turn the token spend into burritos at people's homes. And you're in as good a position to see that as anybody. So are you like, we're going to have certain teams try to move the metrics in a market with AI? Or is it just bottoms up, let the teams explore whatever they want with AI?

0:24

Yeah, I think it depends on the team. So if you're product teams, you're exactly right, you can direct teams, I think, toward metrics that matter to customers. If you're merchants on DoorDash today, they're onboarding 35 to 50% faster because we can actually have AI produce all of their catalog or their menu, in the case of a restaurant, help edit your photos, help set up what might be the best way to describe yourself, especially if you're a new retailer coming online into a city. So there's metrics like that that are very trackable, measurable, have immediate positive benefit to end customers. Similarly with Dashers, we've had AI help detect both fraud, fraud, as well as safety incidences before they occur. And you can stop those and take preventative action if you knew that was actually happening. So there's things like that where you can get immediate customer benefit. But you said something earlier in your question, what about software teams, for example? And I think one of the things you notice there is that only certain parts of a software engineer's day is writing code. And it's great that we have models today to write the code for us. But that helps maybe the 25, 30, 50% of our time that's actually shipping code. But what about everything else that has dependencies in product reviews, design meetings, alignment with business teams, etc., etc., etc.? That also has to change. If that doesn't change and come together, you're not going to be able to just have perhaps the productivity gain that you hope to have. Yeah. And I think that's what companies like ourselves, but I'm sure a bunch of companies across the industry, are trying to figure out, and getting those workflows right so that you're not just AI native from code development, but you're AI native in how you actually operate.

0:29

Have you done anything to track different engineering and product teams inside the company, comparing how much more productive they become with AI usage, like ones that are using it more and less heavily and things like that?

0:32

Yeah, I mean, you get all these facts. And I'm sure, as with all things, there's always a distribution of outcomes. Maybe the average is 50% more productive. But you have engineers who might be 35 times more productive, right? It's crazy, right? And it is crazy. But it's always fun to study that distribution. But again, I think what's the value of that? The value of that is really knowing what the art of the possible is, especially in understanding your workflows. But what someone like I have to do is I have to think about how do you create that working environment for everyone? Because it's great that we have engineers who are 50 times more productive. How do you actually get everyone, right?

0:40

But is that an observation, that new ceiling? Exactly. And the question is, is that an observation and somebody's going to be far out? Or is there a learning there that you can go replicate? Yeah, exactly. And I believe it's the latter. Because with all things, especially if they're newer, you're always going to get a distribution of outcomes, right? There's always, in sports and academics, a distribution of outcomes. But that doesn't mean there aren't classes and teams and good things that you can teach as a coach or as an instructor, so that you can get the rest of the class to move to the higher plane.

0:54

Yeah, for a lot of companies, when AI came around, it was either the most petrifying new technology ever, or it was the oh my God, thank you, Tailwind. And I feel like for DoorDash, it was probably neither. And tell me if you object to this. But I would say you're mostly operating

0:58

it's the latter. Because with all things, especially if they're newer, you're always going to get a distribution of outcomes, right? There's always, in sports and academics, a distribution of outcomes. But that doesn't mean there aren't classes and teams and good things that you can teach as a coach or as an instructor so that you can get the rest of the class to move to the higher plane. Yeah, for a lot of companies, when AI came around, it was either the most petrifying new technology ever, or it was the, "Oh my God, thank you, Tailwind." And I feel like for DoorDash, it was probably neither. Tell me if you object to this, but I would say you're mostly operating in the world of atoms, not bits. You've got this two-sided, three-part marketplace with restaurants and dashers and consumers and all these things. You're very related to cities and all of that stuff. And so I would think it's both insulated from AI in a good way, and then you also maybe didn't, it's not like your business started growing 400% faster because this AI thing showed up and it wasn't your history. So how has that been? Is that right? Is that about what it's been for you? Has it been insulated, and that's both good and bad? Yeah, I mean, we're not selling burritos or Nike shoes or groceries as fast as tokens at some other companies. But yeah, look, I think you're largely correct. I remember, I don't know, I think this was 2021. Yeah, this was 2021. Before the arrival of ChatGPT, we were playing around with some of these models. I think it was GPT-2.6, something like that. Yeah, right. And just getting a sense of what the world could look like. And obviously, the models back then are very, very different from the models of today. But even then, we had this description of the world where there are battles for attention, bits, and battles for what's happening in the physical world, for the atoms, and that we largely occupy ourselves in the second category, right? We are in the war for atoms and moving things around. And if we can do that, and we can build a catalog, for example, for where every item exists inside of a city or every parking spot exists, or all of this information, as the companies that battle for attention start maturing, we can really partner and work together in very productive ways. Because one day, ultimately, what's the point of having a personal assistant if it can't actually do real things? Right, exactly. Right. And that's how we thought about it four or five years ago, especially. Funny on that point, it strikes me that one of the things that I think there's room for improvement is that so much of tech is just typing on our screens, and we're all living in the computer. But at some point, to make lives better, you need to move stuff around, you need education, you need stuff that happens in a hospital. Yeah, healthcare, exactly. Yeah, and so you need real estate to be developed. It's all this kind of stuff, but it's all physical at the end. Yes. And so in some ways, it's like all the software ultimately does need to be in service of stuff. Yes. Yeah. Yes. I mean, and this is exactly why, what, I guess it would have been five years ago at this point, the strategy was very much, no, play the game that we're meant to play. The game we're meant to play is the game of atoms, and be best in class at that. And not only is that good for our business, but I also think it's great for our relationship over time with these companies as they finally build out some of their assistance, and build out superintelligence and build out agents that can actually do things versus what they currently do. Because we naturally will need one another in order to be useful to the communities that we serve. Has there been any impact on recruiting or things like that when everybody's losing their mind on AI, and you're in this different thing where you're like, I know this is really important, and it's going to become even more important eventually, but have you had to work through any of that? Yeah, I mean, it's definitely a battle. We are an applied AI company, and we have been pretty much since day one. Whether you want to call it math or machine learning or now LLMs, we can use whatever terminology we want. But as the years have gone by, we are an applied technology company that also solves real-world problems. So yes, it's certainly difficult when you're competing in places where activity is really hot, in machine learning, with folks who are looking to do applied research. It's very competitive right now. Yeah. Are there things, as you think about your next frontier and where you want to go, and you look at the AI stuff, it does seem like some of it is pretty direct. For example, I could imagine robotics maybe could matter at some point. I could see self-driving matters at some point. What are the next parts of AI outside of the LLM on the software side that you care about? Yeah, well, I would say first, before we step away from some of the LLMs, we do care about what LLMs can do. And I think they have gotten materially smarter and more powerful, not just helping with coding, which may be the most prevalent use case today, and certainly in the most prevalent spend consumption. Well, it's definitely good input to you for building stuff. One hundred percent, one hundred percent. But even, for instance, one of the things that we always ask ourselves is how can a technology actually improve outcomes for customers? So if you take, as an example, the DoorDash app, we've grown a tremendous amount over the last even five years. Forget the 13 years we've been doing this. Just in the last five years, kind of the same arc in which some of these LLMs have grown up, DoorDash has moved from one product category, restaurants, one market, the US, into virtually every retail category, the leader now in deliveries of grocery, convenience items, alcohol items, across 40 countries. There's lots of positives with that. One of the challenges for a consumer, though, is, boy, it's a lot harder to use an app like DoorDash because you now have restaurant things in there, you now have grocery items in there, you have retail items in there, you now have the ability to make reservations or get deals inside of restaurants. It's getting more complicated to actually use our product. LLMs really can help with that. And just as I think there will be personal agents soon, the DoorDash app should be a personal agent. It should be a personal agent to help you do anything inside of your city, right? I can't think of any other product and any other utility, frankly, greater than the number of connections that you can have between you and the businesses inside of your city. And so those are the kinds of things that you'll see us launch just with LLMs, right? You should be able to have an easier time actually doing research on what items you want to buy, or what might be great recommendations for you based on all the history that we have across tens of billions of orders on you. And you should pretty much be able to get anything to your house and not have to shop for it. Yeah, or have the choice of getting it later when you're home, or because you may be away, or the next day, because it's better for you. You're exactly right. And so I do think that there's still a lot of excitement just in the LLMs,

1:02

of any other product, and any other utility, frankly, greater than the number of connections that you can have between you and the businesses inside of your city. And so, those are the kinds of things that you'll see us launch just with LLMs, right? You should be able to have an easier time actually doing research on what items you want to buy, or what might be great recommendations for you, based on all the history that we have across tens of billions of orders on you. And you should pretty much be able to get anything to your house and not have to shop for it. Yeah, or have the choice of getting it later when you're home, or because you may be away, or the next day, because it's better for you. You're exactly right. And so, I do think that there's still a lot of excitement just in the LLMs, but you're right, if you want to go beyond that, there is a lot of work around the physical space.

1:08

So, for example, we've been working on autonomous vehicles since 2019. And a lot of that started with traditional systems, with machine learning, yet traditional ways of thinking about how to use those techniques to build things like recommendation systems. LLMs put a complete new spin on it and didn't really require any of those techniques. Something similar is happening in the physical world where it used to be, if you wanted to perhaps drive autonomously inside of a market, a lot of what you would do is actually build mapping systems and almost heuristics and rules to create an engine in which you can make good decisions and weigh them in real time. Or perhaps you can put all of this into a neural net and take similar techniques that some of the LLM companies are using and actually make even faster and better decisions. And so there are things like that going on that allow us to do some of the work that we're doing with autonomous delivery faster, as an example.

1:13

Yeah, totally. This is now going way back in time. But are you surprised how much people are willing to consume on apps? Obviously, when you started the company in 2013, this was the plan. But has it gone a lot further than you expected? People really will just order a burrito for a lot of money. And it's turned out that it's worth it to people. But was that obvious to you in 2013 that it would go this way?

1:18

No, it was not obvious. People would get like 35 bucks for a burrito. For example, when we launched our first partnership with a national brand, that was July of 2015, I believe, with Taco Bell, I was actually quite skeptical whether or not it would work. On the one hand, you have this legendary brand that's never offered delivery before, being offered for the first time. That was the bull case version. On the flip side, you're right. You're going to pay a premium to get that order. Yeah. And— And—which wouldn't have been intuitive because you said, well, I can get this order for $4 in store.

1:36

Yeah. Yeah. Exactly. And so that was not obvious to me in 2015, what would happen, the bull or the bear version of that. But clearly, people love getting Taco Bell delivered. Of course. Well, it's also, it now makes sense to me in a weird way, because it's like, you save a lot of time going back and forth. You can use that time to do all this other stuff. You can use that time to work. And I think more people are familiar with those kinds of calculations now and all that stuff.

1:48

Yeah. I think it's that. I think there's a lot of things, Jack. One of the things that I remember, even in 2013, looking at as just this marvelous fact that only goes in one direction, there's a few of them. One of them is that if you looked at food consumption, in the 1950s, when the US government used to measure this, or when they first started measuring this, something like 70 to 80 cents on the dollar was spent on grocery. This is in the 1950s. If you looked at 2013, when DoorDash was founded, that number was getting closer to 55 cents toward groceries, 45 cents toward restaurants. Today, it's closer to 55 cents toward restaurants, 45 cents toward groceries. And so over a 75, 76-year arc, yes, there's ups and downs. But if you look at the trend line, it goes in one direction, which is in the direction of food prepared by somebody else.

1:55

Do you know by chance if the relative cost of a steak you made through your own groceries versus a steak prepared by somebody else, if that ratio of cost has changed? Has one gotten more expensive relative to the other?

2:01

It's a great question. But I think it depends a lot on how you value your time. So this gets me to another fact that I think is pretty interesting, which is, if you looked at the percentage of dual-income households, same time period, 1950 to 2020. So this goes way beyond AI or COVID or any of this sort of stuff. You find that the percentage of households has gone from like a quarter dual-income to almost 70%, present day. If you look at the number of restaurants as another example, just total number of restaurants, total count, in the 60 to 70 years in which this is measured, there's maybe two years in which the total number of restaurants in the current year doesn't exceed the previous year. Yeah. So even if new restaurants, which is a very tough business, as you know, having worked as a dishwasher at my mom's place, I definitely know how hard it is. Yes, there's a risk of going out of business, but there's always more than enough that replenishes the bucket every successive year. I think when you put together some of these facts over 70-plus years or something, they spell out that people, whether it's through dollars or time, are expressing the fact with their activity, not just their words, but their activity, that they much value if somebody else made them the steak.

2:06

It's interesting because the stat about dual-income households, that's true. But also the cost of a home has gone up crazily. And if you talk to a lot of young people today versus young people in the fifties, I think people probably feel like it's harder to get the home and the car and everything today than they used to, and all of that. So it's a little counterintuitive that people's willingness to spend on food has done what it's done. Well, I think a couple of things. The first thing I would say is food happens 20 to 25 times a week. It's not like buying a house. Yeah, that's right.

2:25

So that's the first point I'd make. Even if you're the most avid cook, that you love making food, it's very difficult, very, very difficult, to do it 20 to 25 times. Of course.

2:37

That's the first point. I think the second point, and I think you make a very good point on the affordability challenge that we have as a country, and probably globally, actually, not just here in the United States, is that people always want to find a way to feel good. And I think purchases, especially on food, they don't just become an indulgence anymore. They become the ability to actually feel good. It feels great to hit a button and a pizza shows up. It's great to feel good more than once and also do something that you know you need to do. Yep. Food consumption.

2:49

That's right. How much do you think about consumer trends in general, outside of food? Do you need to just be myopically focused on food, or is it worth your time and headspace to care how people are spending their energy on social media or what's going on with Calci and Polymarket or other consumers? Does that matter to you? To understand as a consumer business with hundreds of millions of customers now, absolutely. You have to think way beyond food, and as a company that frankly doesn't just do food anymore. So increasingly our orders are coming outside of food. We have to pay attention. So what are some of the other consumer trends that are

3:03

It feels great to hit a button and a pizza shows up. It's great to feel good. More than once and also do something that you need to do. Yep. Food consumption. That's right. How much do you think about consumer trends in general, outside of food? Do you need to just be myopically focused on food, or is it worth your time and headspace to care how people are spending their energy on social media or what's going on with Calci and Polymarket or other consumers? Does that matter to you? To understand, as a consumer business with hundreds of millions of customers now, absolutely. You have to think way beyond food,

3:41

and as a company that frankly doesn't just do food anymore. Increasingly our orders are coming outside of food. We have to pay attention. So what are some of the other consumer trends that are not about food, but that are important and interesting to you? Well, I think you named one of them, which is this affordability piece, which isn't just about food. People are looking for affordability across every segment. Yes. Housing, transportation, eating, groceries, healthcare, education. We can keep going. Banking. Every category, I would say affordability is a huge deal. Yeah. Huge premium. And so a lot of what we're thinking about is

4:14

how do you continuously do two things? One, continuously bring down costs, and two, how do you bring more value? And I think those are very hard things to do. We again mainly try to stay focused in the world of atoms, though, because one of the things that I think people on the software side perhaps don't appreciate is, all this information that you can get in software sometimes gives you this perception that you can structure information pretty easily and maybe control information and experiences pretty easily end to end. That is the complete opposite in the game of atoms, where

4:53

everything is an edge case. Every day there's this thing called traffic and weather, and every day, by definition, it's not perfectly predictable. And we can argue it's range-bounded or not, but look, if there happens to be a traffic jam and something takes 20 minutes longer, that's a real problem for that one customer. A lot of what we're doing is actually just staying as expert and professional as we can in that game. What's cool about it is by being so good at logistics and costs and coordination and all of that, it's obviously going to apply to stuff outside of food. But even just within food, it seems like to bring more value to the customer, the obvious

5:38

way is you could just keep chipping away at the cost, which I assume over time, you ought to be able to get to an extremely low place, I would think. With food, but also with inventory of other types of products, right? For instance, one of the challenges in grocery or retail is, well, there are actually separate challenges. In the case of grocery, most grocers don't know what items are on shelves. And it's not because of bad technology or outdated systems or a lot of different systems. There are those challenges, but it's honestly also structurally because consumers who go inside the store move things around, right? Or CPG companies want

6:22

certain items to be promoted or not promoted. And those things change quite often. And as a result of that, that becomes really messy, right? So how do you get great at that? You know why? Because if you don't get great at that and you make mistakes or you have to make a bunch of substitutions, that's extra cost. Back to your point around affordability, that's cost. Even though it's not just about the price of the items, but it's about everything surrounding it to support fulfillment. In the case of retail, if you didn't know that the pair of shoes that you wanted might be a half size off because it doesn't fit great, that's extra cost. That's

7:00

going to get returned somehow or refunded. And those are all of the challenges that we try to obsess about. What are the tempting adjacent things that make sense for you to do that you've said no to in the name of focus? As an example, as I was just listening to that, do businesses ever want to use you to work with their own suppliers or things like that? And then if you said, you know what, that's just too far afield from what we do, are there close-by things that you're constantly saying, that's a good idea, but it's not a great idea. We're just not going to do that? Yeah, it's a good question. A lot of the separation between good and great internally

7:39

right now is around sequencing. And so, for instance, I had no idea, back to one of your earlier questions about, well, how big could food be? It's very hard as an entrepreneur, when you're working out of your apartment, to know what that size could be one day. Turns out a lot of people eat food. Turns out a lot of people eat food. It also turns out it's a lot harder than we thought. Yeah. And we worked on it for seven years before we moved to category number two, which was groceries. It's funny. I could see getting started like, oh, this could be a $5 billion company. And now you're like, this could be a $500 billion.

8:35

Actually in our Y Combinator application, there's a question, I don't know if they ask it anymore, which is how much revenue do you think this company can make one day? And I remember we were just operating in Palo Alto at the time. And so I counted up how many Palo Altos there could be and how many orders we could do in each one of those types of cities. And I estimated something like a hundred million dollars of revenue or something like that. Thankfully, we're a few orders of magnitude off. That's funny. Yeah. But that's true. But to your point. No, but it's surprising. It's very surprising. And so I think a lot of times,

9:42

you as an entrepreneur have to take the greedy algorithm, right? You have to keep going all the way and seeing if there's more. Right. If I'm still on a winning swing, why would you get off? Yeah. And that's kind of how we think about it when you ask about, oh, are there other things we could do? Yeah. The question we ask is, yes. So then your job is to basically just say- And what's the opportunity cost? What's the opportunity cost relative to the current thing? But DoorDash is a company that has built a lot of different things now. We have obviously a business in restaurant delivery. We have a business outside of restaurant delivery,

10:40

a business outside of the US, a business in advertising, a B2B business where we basically take everything we've built for ourselves and we give it to merchants so they can stand up their own first-party channels, right? And so that came from somewhere, but a lot of it is just constantly weighing, is it the right time now versus is it a bad idea or a good idea? How hard was the advertising business? I feel like those people- Hard. Yeah. Well, I think just building ads, not that hard. Building best-in-class returns for advertisers while you also have best-in-class returns for the consumer experience, hard.

11:14

Because fundamentally there is going to be a conflict where if you have an advertisement show up in a product that may not be relevant to a consumer, you have a challenge where you're taking some sort of a trade-off. Yeah. We can say that, oh, it's worth it here and there. But before you know it, after a few years or a decade- It's a slight tax. It's very, very difficult to unwind all of that, especially given some of the attractive profile of the economics behind advertising. And so I think one of the things I'm really proud of, I think the team gets a ton of credit for being the fastest company in history to hit a

11:51

billion dollars in ad revenue. But I'm more proud of how they did it. How they did it. Which is constantly, constantly fighting the restraint effectively, or living with the constraint that we must achieve both objectives: best-in-class returns for advertisers as well as consumers. I mean, it's like I think probably the Facebook ads team, their early ads team must be

12:14

it here and there. But before you know it, after a few years or a decade—it's a slight tax. It's very, very difficult to unwind all of that, especially given some of the attractive profile of the economics behind advertising. And so I think one of the things I'm really proud of, I think the team gets a ton of credit for being the fastest company in history to hit a billion dollars in ad revenue. But I'm more proud of how they did it. How they did it. Which is constantly, constantly fighting the restraint effectively, or living with the constraint that we must achieve both objectives: best-in-class returns for advertisers as well as consumers.

12:20

I think probably the Facebook ads team, their early ads team, must be one of the greatest, it seems like. In some ways it actually seems to me, and obviously I know you're on the board there at Meta, but I feel like in some ways it seems like those cultures, your culture and the Meta culture, probably have a lot in common, at least from the outside, in terms of just extremely metrics-driven, a lot of testing and trying things, very focused on results and stuff like that. Is that, is that, is that accurate? Is that, what, was the ads team an even more distilled version of all of those things?

12:28

I think you're right in saying that the ads teams at some of the largest tech companies in the world are some of the most impressive teams because it's carried them so far. I think we forget that some of these companies and products that we're talking about here are more than two decades old now at this point. Yeah. And not only do they have the reach of billions of users and things like that, if you looked at some of the latest results from these companies, it's incredible the business growth that they've seen. I mean, also, you talk to people from Google or Meta ads, it's brilliant people, it's very hard. Yeah. And the constant working that problem, right. And you're right that this is shared in some ways with the DoorDash side, where maybe we work in a different space. It's not fully in our control. It's not all about digits and attention. It's more about the physical world. And we have a lot more constraints, where we have to take what the defense gives us, so to speak, where you are taking what's happening in the physical world, and then you have to react very quickly to it because we don't get to control sources of demand or supply really. But it's similar in that you have to be very objective and unemotional about what is best for customers while living within constraints and then getting 1% better every single day, and not taking for granted that you can't, because I think sometimes it's easy to say, especially intellectually speaking, that, oh, we've solved the problem, finished. Delivery is finished. And I think if we ever thought like that, I don't think DoorDash can continue growing. And I think that we've continued to, our teams have continued to, just do better by increasing our selection, making fees more affordable, increasing the quality and reliability of our network and delivery, improving our customer support constantly every single day, 1% better. And that leads, maybe not in one sitting, but over an accumulated period of time, to a lot of benefit and surplus.

12:32

Yeah. When you started the company, obviously you're not the only or first person doing this. And there's probably a lot of things that people could say about what led to all the success, and there were good decisions. Starting in the suburbs, I think, was a big one, and probably the way that you went about acquiring restaurants and all these different things. But in some sense also, I think it's probably a fair summary of it all, and what you guys are known for is really great execution. And this is the 1% better every day thing. And this might be hard for you to answer as somebody, because it's just the way that you are, but I'm curious if you can speak at all to what it's like to run a company with execution as a core excellence. I'm thinking of Amazon, for example, as a company that's had to do this. When the margins are thin, there's no choice. There are other companies, by the way, where the zone of genius has to be something completely different. They don't need to be great at execution. Actually, they can just have periodic brilliant insights that are just so unbelievably step-changing that you can actually afford to be sloppy. And the types of people who are going to have those insights might be types of people who are more likely to be less tuned to the details anyway. But I'm just curious if you can speak at all to what your experience is like building a company with these values.

12:37

Yeah, yeah, that is a hard question. I mean, I would say it starts first and foremost with a love and appreciation for how math and humanity come together. Because what I mean by that is, when I think about the DoorDash business, yes, you're right, there are a lot of metrics, there are a lot of constraints, low margins, low margins, and therefore you have to be very good at measuring a lot of things. That's the math part. That's the how do you take a multivariate problem and make the best set of trade-offs and calculus. But underneath it, though, is the recognition that on every single order we do, we have at least three humans involved, at least. We have at least a Dasher, a merchant, and a consumer who all participate to make something productive happen inside that city. And you have to both like it. It's not good enough to just be very robotic and all we're going to look at is the numbers, and if the numbers are good, we're good. And if it has a negative consequence on somebody, then so be it. That's not good enough in my book. My book is, you have to recognize that if you look at the merchants, right, when I think about my mom who worked inside of a restaurant, this is life, this is not a job, this is not a nine-to-five, or, oh, what are you going to do from this career to the next career? No, this is every single day my livelihood. Every single day it's my identity. It's certainly my professional income, but it's everything in the household. You look at couriers, we have tens of millions of couriers who've delivered with us. And we are a stepping stone for most of them. The vast majority of them are doing only a few hours a week. And that's because they are trying to strive toward becoming a doctor, a nurse, a realtor, a teacher, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. And then obviously we talked about the benefits to consumers. And so you have to have that appreciation and love. If you don't have that for either the people or the math, I think it's a very difficult game to sustain because it's just not choosing the right game for you.

12:42

It seems like it could be rare to have both of those in one person. But you've obviously got a company full of, I presume, people who you believe have both of those things. So what do you, how do you figure out if somebody is not only one or the other, but somehow both of those things, where they appreciate the humanity and all these complexities while also just being a maniacal, stone-cold operator when they need to be too?

12:46

Yeah, look, I think the tests towards someone's skills, or their problem-solving, or their metric orientation, is a lot more straightforward to assess than, say, someone's values, I would say. And there, a lot of it is actually hearing about the things that motivate them, as well as the things that

12:52

game to sustain, because it's just not choosing the right game for you. It seems like it could be rare to have both of those in one person. But you've obviously got a company full of, I presume, people who you believe have both of those things. So how do you figure out if somebody is not only one or the other, but somehow both of those things, where they appreciate the humanity and all these complexities, while also just being a maniacal, stone-cold operator when they need to be too?

12:58

Yeah, look, I think the test towards someone's skills, or their problem solving, or their metric orientation, is a lot more straightforward to assess than, say, someone's values, I would say. A lot of it is actually hearing about the things that motivate them, as well as the things that demotivate them. And it's okay, by the way. There's no judgment here. It's really around self-selection. Some people, I think, find it awesome, the types of businesses that want to become restaurateurs, retailers, grocers. Some find it messy and not for them. That's okay. That's really okay.

13:02

And so, again, a lot of this is about self-selection. It's about people who are going to do the right thing, even if maybe the numbers belie that behavior, people who have seen adversity, people who believe in the fact that if we can be successful, then all these awesome creators and passion projects inside cities will actually continue to be successful, and actually want that to be successful. I think if people can self-select into that, that's really how you can tell. There isn't this perfect test, but it's really around self-selecting into it. It's cool.

13:08

I'm curious, for you, when you think about growing your business, what are the biggest levers? Is it city expansion still, to some extent? Is it now about broadening out through more categories? Is it M&A? What are the things when you're like, I want my business to grow by X amount next year? Here's how I'm going to ladder my way there. At this stage, obviously, a very mature business, what goes into it?

13:15

Well, I don't know if we're a very mature business. I mean, we've certainly surpassed the size of my apartment. But I would say that we're still, even our largest business, our restaurants business in the US, is only single-digit percentages of the restaurant category. But to answer your question, I think it's how can we either solve current customer problems better, or how do we solve the next problem, and what is that next problem? And I think a lot of times, back to the comment you were making earlier about some of the advertising teams at some of these larger technology companies, I think you have to do two things. You have to keep building the core, which for us has always been food, and just constantly work on that problem of improving selection, quality, price, and service.

13:17

And then you also have to create the new, which is actually a very different set of skills. It's a different management system. It's different people sometimes, certainly different incentive mechanisms. It has a lot more inefficiency before you have efficiency. And that's where we're searching for new problems to solve. And this is your point around how much do you focus versus just doing the core. It is both. I think when you look at companies that can continue to grow, they tend to do this. They tend to keep solving the problems that they've solved for customers continually better, and they also find new problems to solve.

13:23

How much do customers care about speed? If you could deliver everything in five minutes, can you tell if that would drastically change demand, or is that no longer a huge variable? No, I think people, I mean, this is like saying, would you like something delivered slower, right? People are always going to want something delivered faster. That's all. And now, is it X minutes? It depends on probably what the product is. But the short answer I know definitively is that customers always want something faster. Do you think drones will happen for this kind of delivery?

13:40

Of course. I mean, drones, autonomous vehicles, they will all happen. But we have to remember something. The delivery part is just one part of the time of a delivery. Yeah. Right? So while it may be possible to fly in the air and skip a bunch of traffic, it's not possible to skip a busy kitchen, especially if you're understaffed. And so the predominant part, the majority of time spent on a delivery, is the preparation, whether it's inventory inside of a retail shop or cooking time inside of a busy kitchen. Yeah. And the drone can't go through the retail store and check.

14:06

Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. So my perspective, again, is that I think you're calling out a very good point, which is when you think about products, I think when it comes to digital experiences, a lot of attention is around pixels and every detail from step to step to step. It's no different in the physical world, but a lot of the steps are just in the physical world. And it's the coordination and the orchestration of the end-to-end system, of which just the fulfillment is one part. Understanding exactly, did you get the right inventory? Understanding the exact prep times. Understanding which vehicle to send, whether it's autonomous vehicles or human drivers. Understanding what is the right price point. Understanding how do you solve substitutions. Understanding how do you do refunds and credits. All of these things have to be orchestrated and effectively hidden, in terms of the complexity behind the surface, to offer a very simple, just get you exactly what you want.

14:11

Yeah. Yeah. To the customer. It's funny. As I'm thinking about it, it's like both, you have both the simplest kind of objective a company of this scale could possibly have, which is get that item from that place to that home as quickly and cheaply as possible. That's really simple. But then the complexity from A to B is ridiculous.

14:16

Yeah. Yeah. I mean, that is the DoorDash problem set, for better and for worse. I mean, I remember when we started DoorDash, I remember decomposing that there's almost like 20 mini-systems, mini little processes, if you will. If you imagine a checklist of just bring you a burrito, there's 20 little things that you have to get right, because if anything goes wrong, you would actually need to fix it. And there's no way, by the way, that you would know about this unless you actually did the deliveries yourself, right? This is exactly why we still, to this day, we've done it since day one, but to this day we still have everyone in the company Dash, which is our way of saying doing deliveries. We still all do deliveries because until you actually get into the physical world, until you find yourself stuck in the wrong elevator or the wrong lobby trying to get upstairs to deliver something, until you get to the wrong alleyway for parking, until you get to the wrong place because you realize food gets made sometimes in three different stations inside of a restaurant, until you actually experience those things, it's very difficult to a priori just intellectualize that and know about it.

14:22

Yeah. What are you most excited about for whatever's coming up with AI or anything else in the next year or two? Well, I think right now it's a period of rapid change for everyone. And so what is very exciting is we started this conversation talking about some of the inefficiencies that perhaps companies are experiencing when it comes to token consumption, token maxing, and experimentation. But there's a lot of fun in that too, of course, and there'll be a lot of creative new discoveries that will come. Yeah.

14:40

And so what I'm excited about is all the things that haven't yet happened, actually. That's what I'm really excited about, not just in products that will be great for customer outcomes and increasing the surplus, but actually ways of working. I am really excited because I think one of the things you always ask yourself as an entrepreneur is how do you continuously keep up the velocity and pace at a company similar to what you had when you started the company? Yeah. And it's very hard. As you know, you've done it yourself. conversation talking about some of the inefficiencies that perhaps companies are

14:58

experiencing when it comes to token consumption, token maxing, token maxing, and experimentation. But there's a lot of fun in that too. Of course. And there'll be a lot of creative new discoveries that will come. Yeah. And so what I'm excited about is all the things that haven't yet happened, actually. That's what I'm really excited about. Not just in products that that will be great for customer outcomes and increasing the surplus, but actually ways of working. I am really excited because I think one of the things you always ask yourself as an entrepreneur is, how do you continuously keep up the velocity and pace at a company similar to what

15:41

you had when you started the company? Yeah. And it's very hard. As you know, you've done it yourself. And you see a lot of startups today. And so I'm interested in answering both of those questions. It's, how are we going to take this period of change to, yes, build better products for customers, but also literally build better products for ourselves so that we can enjoy work to the max? Actually, now that you say this, my last question is on the personal, because it was, I didn't do it for as long, but nine years of it. And it's difficult. And you're, I guess, 13 years into this company. And obviously it was and is very intense, but has your own,

16:29

when you think about how do we keep it as intense as the early days, is that the goal in your head? Or do you at some point, you're now, whatever, a many-billion-dollar public company, do you at some point say, actually now I need to find the marathon pace that I can do this for the rest of my life? Or is it just the same intensity as day one for you? Well, it's less about the intensity in terms of how many hours are you sprinting, or I think it's the feeling of agency and productivity that you always yearn for. I don't think any startup founder, at least I personally know, is trying to optimize toward the number of hours

17:16

worked per week or something like that. No, I think the reason why people go toward startups, and why they want to have a, is because they want to have a lot of impact. And it's the feeling of agency. Yeah. And I think I want to make sure that everybody at the company continues to feel that agency to hopefully do more and more and more because not only then will they do the best work of their careers at DoorDash, but even if and after it, when they leave to go pursue whatever the next endeavor is in life personally or professionally, they're going to have more confidence to do it. That's awesome. Well, Tony, this is a pleasure. Thanks for joining us with me.

18:06

Yeah. Thanks, Jack. because it's like, you know, you save a lot of time going back and forth. You can use that time to do all this other stuff. You can use that time to work. Like, you know, and I think more people are familiar with those kinds of calculations now and all that stuff. Yeah. I think it's that. I think there's a lot of things, Jack. I mean, like, one of the things that I remember, even in 2013, looking at as just this marvelous, like, fact that only goes in one direction, there's a few of them. You know, one of them is that if you looked at, if you looked at just food consumption, you know,

18:42

in the 1950s, when the US government used to measure this, or when they first started measuring this, something like 70 to 80 cents on the dollar was spent on grocery. Okay. This is like in the 1950s. If you looked at 2013, when DoorDash was founded, that number was getting closer to 55 cents towards groceries, you know, 45 cents towards restaurants. Today, it's closer to 55 cents towards restaurants, Wow. 45 cents towards groceries. And so over a 75, 76 year, you know, arc, yes, there's ups and downs. But if you look at the trend line, it kind of goes in one direction, which is in the direction of,

19:20

you know, food prepared by somebody else. Do you know by chance if like, the relative cost of a steak you made through your own groceries versus a steak prepared by somebody else? If that ratio of cost has changed? Like, has one gotten more expensive relative to the other? It's a great question. But I think it depends a lot on how you value your time. So this gets me to another fact that I think is pretty interesting, which is, if you looked at the percentage of dual income households, same time period 1950 to 2020. So this, you know, this goes way beyond AI or COVID or any of this sort of stuff. You find that the percentage of household has gone from like a

19:57

quarter, you know, dual income to almost like 70%, right? You know, present day, if you look at the number of restaurants as another example, just just total number of restaurants, total count, okay, in the 60 to 70 years in which this is measured, there's maybe two years in which the total number of restaurants in the current year doesn't exceed the previous year. Yeah. So even if, you know, new restaurants, you know, which is a very tough business, as you know, I mean, having worked as a dishwasher at my mom's place, I definitely know how hard it is. Yes, there's a risk of going out of

20:31

business, but there's always more than enough that replenishes the bucket every successive year. I think when you put together some of these, you know, facts over like 70 plus years or something, they kind of spell out that people, whether it's through, you know, dollars or time, are expressing the fact with their activity, not just their words, but their activity that they much value if somebody else made them the stake. It's interesting because like, you know, the, the stat about, you know, dual income households, it's like that, that's true. But also like the, you know, the cost of a

21:04

home has gone up crazily. And if you talk to, I think you talked to a lot of like young people today, versus young people in the fifties. Sure. I think people probably feel like it's harder to get like, yes, the home and the car and everything today than they used to and all of that. Yes. So it's a little counterintuitive that people's willingness to spend on food has done what it's done. Well, I think a couple of things. So, you know, the first thing I would say is, you know, food happens 20 to 25 times a week. It's not like buying a house. Yeah, that's right. So that's, that's the first point I make. So, so even if you're the most avid cook, right, that you love making,

21:37

you know, food, it's very difficult. It's very, very difficult to do it 20 to 25 times. Of course. That's the first point. I think the second point, and I think you make a very good point on the affordability challenge that we have as a country and probably globally, actually, not just here in the United States, is that people always want to find a way to feel good. Okay. And, and, and, and I think, you know, purchases, especially on food, you know, you know, they don't just become like an indulgence anymore. They become like, you know, the ability to actually, you know, feel good. It feels great to hit a button and a pizza shows up. It's, it's great to, to feel good.

22:16

More than once and also do something that you know, you need to do. Yep. Food consumption. That's right. How much do you think about like consumer trends in general, outside of food? Like, do you need to just be myopically focused on food or is it worth your time and headspace to care how people are spending their energy on social media or what's going on with Calci and Polymarket or other consumers? Like, does that matter to you? Um, to understand as, as a consumer business with hundreds of millions of customers now, absolutely. You have to think way beyond food and as a company that frankly doesn't just do food anymore. So increasingly our orders are coming

22:51

outside of food. We have to pay attention. So what are like some of the other consumer trends that are like not about food, but that are important and interesting to you? Well, I think you named one of them, uh, which is this affordability piece, which isn't just about food. People are looking for affordability across every segment. Yes. Housing, transportation, eating, groceries, um, healthcare, education. I mean, we can keep going. Banking. Every, every category, I would say affordability is a huge deal. Yeah. Huge premium. And so a lot of, um, you know, what we're thinking about is how do you continuously do two things? One, continuously bring down costs and two,

23:36

how do you bring more value? And, and, and I, and I think those are very hard to do things. Um, we, we, we, again, like mainly try to stay focused in the world of atoms though, because one of the things that I think people, um, on the software side perhaps don't appreciate is, you know, all this information that you can get in software, um, kind of sometimes gives you this perception that you can structure information pretty easily and maybe control information and experiences pretty easily end to end. That is the complete opposite in the game of atoms where everything is an edge case. Every day there's this thing called traffic and weather and every day by

24:17

definition, it's not perfectly predictable. And we can argue it's range bounded or not, but look, if there happens to be a traffic jam and you know, something takes 20 minutes longer, that's a, that's a real problem for that one customer. A lot of what we're doing is actually just staying as expert and profession as we can in that game. What's cool about it is by being so good at logistics and costs and all, and coordination and all of that, it's obviously going to apply to stuff outside of food. Um, but even, even just within food, it seems like, you know, to bring more value to the customer, I mean, the obvious

24:52

way is you could just keep chipping away at, you know, the cost, which I assume over time, you ought to be able to get to an extremely low place, I would think. With food, um, but also with inventory of other types of products, right? For instance, you know, one of the challenges in, you know, grocery or retail is, um, well, there's actually separate challenges in the, in the case of grocery, most grocers don't know what items are on shelves. And it's not because of bad technology or outdated systems or a lot of different systems. There are those challenges, but it's honestly also structurally because consumers

25:27

who go inside the store move things around, right? Um, or CPG companies, you know, want, you know, certain items to be promoted or not promoted. And those things change quite often. And as a result of that, you know, that becomes really messy, right? So how do you get great at that? You know why? Because if you don't get great at that and you make mistakes or you have to make a bunch of substitutions, that's extra costs. Back to your point around affordability, that's, that's costs. Even though it's not just about the price of the items, but it's about everything surrounding it to support

25:55

fulfillment. In the case of retail, if you didn't know that, you know, um, the pair of shoes that you wanted might be a half size off, you know, because it doesn't fit great, that's extra cost. That's going to get returned somehow or refunded, you know? Um, and those are all of the challenges that we try to obsess about. What are the like tempting adjacent things that kind of makes sense for you to do that you've like said no to in the name of focus? Like, you know, as an example, as I was just listening to that, like, you know, do businesses ever want to use you to like, you know, work with

26:27

their own suppliers or things like that? And then if you said, you know what, that's just too far afield from what we do, like, are there, are there close by things that you're constantly saying, that's a good idea, but it's not a great idea. We're just not going to do that. Yeah, it's a good question. I mean, a lot of the separation between good and great internally right now is around sequencing, you know? And, and, and, and so, you know, for instance, I had no idea back to one of your earlier questions about, well, how big could food be? It's very hard as an entrepreneur, you know, when you're working out of your apartment, um, to know

27:00

that, you know, what that size could be one day. Turns out a lot of people eat food. Turns out a lot of people eat food. Um, it also turns out it's a lot harder than we thought. Yeah. And we worked on it for seven years before we moved to category number two, which was groceries. It's funny. It's like, I could see getting started like, oh, this could be a $5 billion company. And now you're like, this could be a $500 billion. Actually in our Y Combinator application, there's a question. I don't know if they ask it anymore, which is how much revenue do you think this company can make one day? And I remember we were just

27:29

operating in Palo Alto at the time. And so I counted up how many Palo Altos there could be and how many orders we could do in each one of those types of cities. And I estimate something like a hundred million dollars of revenue or something like that. Thankfully, we're a few orders of magnitude off. That's funny. Yeah. But that's true. That's a, but to your point. No, but it's surprising. It's very surprising. And so I think a lot of times it's, you kind of, as an entrepreneur have to take the greedy algorithm, right? You have to keep going all the way and seeing if there's more. Right. If I'm still on a winning swing, why would you get off?

28:01

Yeah. And that's kind of how we think about it when you ask, you know, about like, oh, are there other things we could do? Yeah. The question we ask is, yes. So then your job is to basically just say- And what's the opportunity cost? What's the opportunity cost relative to the current thing? But, you know, I mean, but DoorDash is a company that has built a lot of different things now. You know, we have obviously a business in restaurant delivery. We have a business outside of restaurant delivery, a business outside of the US, a business in advertising, a B2B business where we basically

28:31

take everything we've built for ourselves and we give it to merchants so they can stand up their own first party channels. Right. And so that came from somewhere, you know, but a lot of it is just constantly weighing, you know, is it the right time now versus is it, you know, a bad idea or a good idea? How hard was the advertising business? I feel like those people- Hard. Yeah. Well, I think just building ads, not that hard. Building best in class returns for advertisers while you also have best in class returns for the consumer experience, hard. Because fundamentally there is going to be a

29:09

conflict where if you have an advertisement show up in a product that may not be relevant to a consumer, you have a challenge where you're taking some sort of a trade-off. Yeah. We can say that, oh, it's worth it here and there. But, you know, before you know it, you know, after a few years or a decade- It's a slight tax. It's very, very difficult to kind of unwind all of that, especially given some of the attractive profile of the economics behind advertising. And so I think, well, one of the things I'm really proud of, you know, I think the team gets a ton of credit for being the fastest company in history to hit a

29:43

billion dollars in ad revenue. But I'm more proud of how they did it. How they did it. Which is constantly, constantly, I mean, you know, fighting the restraint effectively or living with the constraint that we must achieve both objectives. Best in class returns for advertisers as well as consumers. I mean, you know, it's like, I think like probably the Facebook ads team, their early ads team must be like one of the greatest, it seems like. In some ways it actually seems to me, and obviously I know you're on the board there at Meta, but I feel like in some ways it seems like those cultures are, your

30:17

culture and the meta culture probably have a lot in common from, at least from the outside in terms of just like, you know, extremely metrics driven, a lot of testing and trying things like very focused on like, you know, results and stuff like that. Is that, is that, is that like accurate? Is that like, what, like was the ads team like an even more distilled version of all of those things? I mean, I think you're right in that, in saying that, you know, the ads teams at some of the largest tech companies in the world are some of the, you know, can only most impressive teams because,

30:45

you know, it's carried them so far. You know, I think we forget that some of these companies and products that you're, we're talking about here are more than two decades old now at this point. Yeah. And not, not only do they have the reach of billions of users and things like that, uh, if you looked at some of the, you know, latest results from these companies, um, it's incredible the, the, the, the, um, business growth that they've seen. I mean, also you talk to people from, you know, Google or Meta ads, I mean, it's brilliant people, like it's very hard. Yeah. It's, and, and, and, and, and the constant working that problem, right. The, the, and it's, and, and you're

31:20

right that this share, you know, in some ways with the DoorDash side, where maybe we work in a different space, it's not fully in our control. It's not all about, you know, digits and, and, and, and attention. It's more about the physical world. And we have a lot more constraints where we have to kind of take with the, the, you know, what the, um, defense gives us, so to speak, where you kind of are taking what's happening in the physical world. And then you have to react very quickly to it because we don't get to control sources of demand or supply really. Um, but, uh, it, it, it's similar in that you,

31:53

you have to be very objective, um, and unemotional about what is best for customers while living within constraints and then getting 1% better every single day and not taking for granted that you can't, because I think sometimes it's easy to say, especially intellectually speaking that like, oh, we've solved the problem finished, you know, like delivery is finished. And I think if we ever thought like that, I don't think DoorDash can continue growing. And I think that we've continued to, our teams have continued to, um, just do better by increasing our selection, making fees more

32:30

affordable, increasing the quality and reliability of our network and delivery, improving our customer support constantly every single day, 1% better. Um, and that's, that, that, that leads maybe not in one sitting, but over an accumulated period of time, a lot of benefit and surplus. Yeah. When, I mean, when you started the company, obviously you're not the only or first person doing this. And there's probably, you know, a lot of things that people could say about, you know, what led to all the success and there were good decisions, you know, just starting in the suburbs, I think was like

33:02

a big one and probably the way that you, you know, went about acquiring restaurants and all these different things. But in some sense also, I think it's probably like a fair kind of like summary of it all. And what you guys are known for is just like, it's like really great execution. And, you know, this is like the 1% better everyday thing. And this might be hard for you to answer as somebody, because it's just the way that you are. Um, but I'm curious if you can sort of speak at all to what it's like to run a company with execution as like, you know, a core excellence. You know,

33:32

I like, I'm thinking of Amazon, for example, as a company that's had to do this when the margins are, when the margins are thin, like there's no choice. There are other companies, by the way, where like the sort of, you know, the zone of genius has to be something completely different. They don't need to be great at execution. Actually, they can just have periodic brilliant insights that are just so unbelievably step changing that, you know, you can actually afford to be sloppy. And the types of people who are going to have those insights might be types of people who are going to more likely be, you know,

34:01

less, you know, tuned to the details anyway. But I'm just curious if you can speak at all to, you know, what your experience is like building a company with sort of these values? Yeah, yeah, that is a hard question. I mean, I would say, you know, it starts first and foremost with a love and appreciation for how math and humanity come together. Because, and what I mean by that is when I think about the DoorDash business, yes, you're right, there are a lot of metrics, there are a lot of constraints, low margins, low margins, and therefore you have to be very good at measuring a lot of things. That's the math part.

34:47

That's the how do you, you know, take a multivariate problem and make the best set of, you know, trade-offs and calculus. But underneath it, though, is the recognition that on every single order we do, we have at least three humans involved, at least, you know, we have at least a Dasher, a merchant, and a consumer who all participate, you know, to make something productive happen inside that city. And you kind of have to like both. It's not good enough to just be very robotic. And all we're going to look at is the numbers. And if the numbers are good, we're good. And but and if it has a negative

35:26

consequence on somebody, then so be it. That's not good enough in my book. My, you know, my book is, you have to recognize that if you look at the merchants, right, when I think about my mom who worked inside of a restaurant, this is life, this is not a job, this is not a nine to five, or oh, what are you going to do from this career to the next career? No, this is every single day, my livelihood, every single day, it's my identity, it's certainly my professional income, but it's everything in the household. You look at couriers, you know, we have 10s of millions of couriers who've, you know,

36:00

delivered with us. And they we are like a stepping stone for most of them, the vast majority of them are, you know, doing only a few hours a week. And that's because they're, they are trying to strive towards, you know, becoming a doctor, a nurse, a realtor, a teacher, etc, etc, etc. And, and then obviously, we talked about, you know, the benefits to consumers. And so you have to have that appreciation and love. If you don't have that for either the people or the math, I think it's a very difficult game to sustain, because it's just not choosing the right game for you. It seems like it could be

36:41

rare to have both of those in one person. But you've obviously got a company full of, I presume, people who you believe have both of those things. So what do you, how do you figure out if somebody is not only one or the other, but somehow both of those things where they appreciate the humanity and all these complexities, while also just being, you know, a maniacal sort of stone cold, you know, operator when when they need to be too? Yeah, look, I think the tests towards, you know, someone's skills, or their problem solving, or their metric orientation, is a lot more straightforward to assess than say, someone's values, I would say, or, and there,

37:26

a lot of it is actually hearing about the things that motivate them, as well as the things that demotivate them. And it's okay, by the way, there's no judgment here. It's really around self selection. Some people, I think, find it awesome, you know, the types of businesses that want to become restaurateurs, retailers, grocers, some find it messy, and not for them. That's okay. That's really okay. And so, again, a lot of this is about self selection. It's about, about people who are going to do the right thing, even if maybe the numbers be lie, you know, that behavior, people who have seen

38:11

adversity, people who believe in the fact that, you know, if we can be successful, then all these awesome creators and passion projects inside cities will actually continue to be successful, and actually, you know, want that to be successful. I think if people can self select into that, that's really how you can tell there isn't like this perfect test. But it's really around self selecting into it. It's cool. I'm curious, like, for you, when you think about like growing your business, what are like the biggest levers? Is it? Is it like city expansion still, to some extent? Is it like, is it now about broadening

38:47

out through more categories? Like, is it M&A? Like, what are the things when you're like, I want my business to grow by X amount next year? Here's how I'm gonna ladder my way there. Like at this stage, obviously, a very mature business, what goes into it? Well, I don't know if we're a very mature business. I mean, we've certainly surpassed, you know, the size of my apartment. But I would say that, you know, we're still even our largest, you know, business or restaurants business in the US is only single digit percentages of the restaurant category. But to answer your question, I think it's how can we either solve current customer problems

39:25

better? Or how do we solve the next problem? And what is that next problem? And, you know, I think a lot of times, you know, back to the comment you're making earlier about some of the advertising teams at some of these larger technology companies, I think you have to do two things. You have to keep building the core, which, you know, for us has always been food, and just constantly work on that problem of improving selection, quality, price, and service. And then you also have to create the new, which is actually a very different set of skills. It's a different management system. It's different people sometimes,

40:05

certainly different incentive mechanisms. It has a lot more inefficiency before you have efficiency. And that's where we're searching for new problems to solve. And this is your point around, you know, well, how much do you focus, you know, versus, you know, just doing the core? It is both. I think when you look at, you know, companies that can continue to grow, they tend to do this, they tend to keep solving the problems that they've solved for customers continually better. And they also find new problems to solve. How much do customers care about speed? Like, if you could deliver everything in five minutes,

40:43

would that dress, like, can you tell if that would drastically change demand? Or is that no longer a huge variable? No, I think people, I mean, this is like saying, would you like something delivered slower, right? People are always going to want something delivered faster. That's all. And now, is it x minutes for like, it depends on probably what the product is. But the short answer I know is definitively is that customers always want something faster. Do you think drones will happen for this kind of delivery? Of course. I mean, like drones, drones, autonomous vehicles, they will all

41:15

happen, you know, but we have to remember something. The delivery part is just one part of the time of a delivery. Yeah. Right. So while it may be possible to fly in the air and skip a bunch of traffic, it's not possible to skip a busy kitchen, especially if you're understaffed. And so, and that's the predominant part, the majority time spent on a delivery is the preparation. Whether it's inventory inside of a retail shop or, you know, cooking time inside of a busy kitchen. Yeah. And the drone can't like go through the retail store and check. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. So, but my perspective, but again,

41:50

I think you're calling out a very good point, which is when you think about, you know, products, I think when it comes to digital experiences, a lot of attention is around pixels and every, you know, detail from step to step to step, no different in the physical world, but a lot of the steps are just in the physical world. Right. And, and, and it's the coordination and the orchestration of the end to end system of which just the fulfillment is one part, right? Understanding exactly, did you get the right inventory, understanding the exact prep times, understanding which vehicle

42:23

to send, you know, whether it's autonomous vehicles or human drivers, understanding what is the right price point, understanding how do you solve, you know, substitutions, understanding how do you do refunds and credits, all of these things have to be orchestrated and I mean, effectively hidden in terms of the complexity behind the surface to offer a very simple, just get you exactly what you want. Yeah. Yeah. To the customer. It's funny. It's like, as I'm thinking about it, it's like both, um, you have both like the, uh, there's like the simplest kind of, you know, objective,

42:52

like a company of this scale could possibly have, which is like, get that item from that place to that home as quickly and cheaply as possible. Like that's really simple. But then like the complexity from A to B is ridiculous. Yeah. Yeah. That's, I mean, I mean, and that is the DoorDash problem set, right? It, it, it, it, for better and for worse. I mean, there are, you know, I remember when we started DoorDash, I remember decomposing that there's almost like 20 mini systems, mini little processes, if you will, if you imagine a checklist of just bring you a burrito, there's 20 little things

43:26

that you kind of have to get right because if anything goes wrong, you know, you would actually need to fix it. And those are, and there's no way by the way that, that, that you would know about this unless you actually did the deliveries yourself, right? This is exactly why we still, to this day, I mean, we've done it since day one, but to this day, we still have everyone in the company, you know, Dash, which is our way of saying doing deliveries. We still all do deliveries because until you actually get into the physical world, until you find yourself stuck in the wrong elevator or the wrong lobby to

43:59

try to get upstairs to deliver something, until you get to the wrong alleyway for parking, until you get to the wrong place, because you realize actually food gets made sometimes in three different stations at inside of a restaurant, until you actually experience those things, it's very difficult to a priori just intellectualize that and know about it. Yeah. What are you most excited about for whatever's coming up with AI or anything else the next year or two? Well, I think right now it's a period of rapid change for everyone. And so what is very exciting is, you know, we started this

44:35

conversation talking about some of the, you know, inefficiencies that perhaps companies are experiencing when it comes to token consumption, token maxing, token maxing and experimentation.

44:50

But there's a lot of fun in that too. Of course. You know, and there'll be a lot of creative, like, you know, new discoveries that will come. Yeah. And so what I'm excited about is all the things that haven't yet happened, actually. That's what I'm really excited about. Not just in like products that that will be great for customer outcomes and increasing the surplus, but actually ways of working. I am really excited because, you know, I think one of the things you always ask yourself as an entrepreneur is how do you continuously keep up the velocity and pace at a company similar to what

45:24

you had when you started the company? Yeah. And it's very hard. As you know, you've done it yourself. It's- And you see a lot of startups today. And so I'm interested in answering both of those questions. It's like, how are we going to take this period of change to, yes, build better products for customers, but also literally build better products for ourselves so that we can enjoy work to the max? Actually, now that you say this, I want to- my last question is kind of on the personal, because it was, you know, I didn't do it for as long, but, you know, nine years of it. And, you know,

45:54

it's difficult. And you're, I guess, 13 years into this company. And obviously it's, you know, was and is very intense, but has your own, you know, when you think about how do we keep it as intense as the early days, like, is that kind of the goal in your head? Or do you at some point, you know, you're now, you know, whatever, many billion dollar public company, do you at some point say, actually now I need to find the marathon pace that I can do this for the rest of my life? Or is it just the same intensity as day one for you? Well, it's, it's less about like the intensity in terms of like, you know, how many hours are you, you know, sprinting or I think it's the

46:30

feeling of agency and productivity that actually that you always yearn for. It's not, I don't think any startup founder, at least I personally know, is trying to optimize towards the number of hours worked per week or something like that. No, I think what, when, when, when, you know, the reason why people go towards startups is, and why they want to have a, is because they want to have a lot of impact. And, and it's the feeling of the agency. Yeah. And I think, you know, I want to make sure that everybody at the company, you know, continues to feel that agency to hopefully do more and more

47:01

and more because you know what, because, because not only then will they do the best work of their careers at DoorDash, but even if, and after it, when they, you know, leave to go pursue whatever the next endeavor is in life personally or professionally, they're going to have more confidence to do it. That's awesome. Well, Tony, this is a pleasure. Thanks for joining us with me. Yeah. Thanks Jack.

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